Models
Experiment report

Model experiments

Every training run recorded in the registry, what it was testing and how it scored. For breakout and breakdown signals the number that matters is precision: of the signals fired, how many became a real move.

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Run log0 runs · 0 fast experiments
Reading these numbers

Precision is the share of fired signals that became a real move. Lift compares that to how often the move happens anyway — 1.0× means the model adds nothing over guessing. Fires on is the share of ticker-days flagged. Walk-forward repeats the measurement across separate historical periods, and is the number to trust when a single holdout looks lucky.

Accuracy is deliberately not shown: a +10% week happens about 5% of the time, so a model that never fires scores 95% accuracy while being useless.